WCHA Pick 'Em 2019-2020

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Re: WCHA Pick 'Em 2019-2020

Postby BGFan » Sat Nov 30, 2019 11:41 pm

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Re: WCHA Pick 'Em 2019-2020

Postby TalonsUpPuckDown » Sun Dec 01, 2019 9:01 am

The week 9 tri-winners with 27 out of a possible 34 points were hawerchuck, Icd80, and puckdude40. Stauber1's lead has gone from 6 to 5 but now it's puckdude40 doing the chasing. Shout out to MTUHuskies who was the only player to pick Huntsville's upset over Northern and hawerchuck and <3_Blizzard who were the only two players to pick BG's sweep over the Domers. 15 players picked the Mav's to sweep so no shout outs there.

The bonus is back for weeks 10 and 11 so anyone who missed last week's picks (BGFan...) has a great chance to make up some lost ground.

Week 10 picks
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Re: WCHA Pick 'Em 2019-2020

Postby TalonsUpPuckDown » Sun Dec 08, 2019 10:41 am

While there were some solid scores posted this week, there's only one name worth mentioning -- BGFan collected 32 out of a possible 33 points by picking all 8 games correctly and scoring 9 out of 10 on the bonus. As for the bonus, geezer lead the way with 10 points by correctly picking 47 home team assists for all 8 games. Here's how the rest of the field "bonused up" this week:

Code: Select all
Player         Points
geezer            10
BGFan              9
gochiefs           8
kckrieg84          8
mbenecke           8
Footballguy51      7
puckdude40         7
TalonsUpPuckDown   7
walktheline        7
GIWAN              6
MTUHuskyGold       6
Soulbeaver         6
Stauber1           6
Wi.HuskiesFan      6
MTUHuskies         5
mikeeddy19         4
MSUMaverickFan     4
Scrum Bucket       4
beaverhockeyfan    3
<3_Blizzard        1
BGSURICK           1


Stauber1 maintains the lead in the race for the MacNaughton Cup by 2 over mbenecke and is now in a tie for the Mason Cup honors with puckdude40. Here are the current Mason Cup leaders (picking more than 2/3 of the winners in this league is pretty darned good):

Code: Select all
Player             Pts %   Games
Stauber1           0.685    111
puckdude40         0.685    111
Scrum Bucket       0.671     85
IceKnight81        0.670     93
sonofcrossjcek     0.670    101
MavHockey14        0.670    110
mbenecke           0.670    111
MissThundercat     0.667    111
beaverhockeyfan    0.667    111


The bonus question for week 11 is one that's brand new, never-before-seen-in-this-contest and you have BroncoHockeyFan to thank (or blame). Post any questions to the board and we'll answer them pronto.

Week 11 picks
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Re: WCHA Pick 'Em 2019-2020

Postby TalonsUpPuckDown » Sun Dec 15, 2019 10:51 am

This was a tough week. 9 players whiffed on all 4 of Saturday's games. Out of 33 possible points for the week, mbenecke led the way with 23 points of which 10 were from the bonus. This performance vaulted him into first place over last week's leader Stauber1. As for the bonus, it was a pretty good one...we'll add this to the regular rotation. At the 13:19 mark of the second period on Friday, BG's Max Johnson scored his 5th goal of the season. The next goal went to BG's Cameron Wright at the 19:50 mark of the third for a total time between goals of 26:31 which is rounded up to 27:00. On Saturday, Ferris' Zach Yoder scored his 3rd of the season at the 17:56 mark of the first period. No other goals were scored until Marshall Moise lit the lamp at the 4:06 mark of the third for for a total time between goals of 26:10 which is rounded up to 27:00. So yeah, I guess the final result is 27 minutes. Manurespreader was the only other player to pick up 10 bonus points.

Code: Select all
Name               Points
Manurespreader       10
mbenecke             10
walktheline           9
Wi.HuskiesFan         9
SweeneyHawksHockey    8
GoNanooks             7
hawerchuck            7
Soulbeaver            7
Footballguy51         6
MTUHuskyGold          6
puckdude40            6
Scrum Bucket          6
BGSURICK              5
Bronco Hockey Fan     5
klbaum1077            5
GIWAN                 4
gochiefs              4
John J. MacInnes      4
Laker Dude            4
BGFan                 3
potternmu             3
MavHockey14           1

It's holiday tournament time! There are two tournaments each with two WCHA teams entered (GLI and Mariucci). For the second day, pick all the games; I'll only use the actual games played. Also, since tournament OT rules are not consistent (and I can't figure out which tournament abides by which rules), the NCAA 65 minutes "rule" will be observed for the GLI, Mariucci, and Catamount Cup. This means after 65 minutes these games could end in a tie regardless of the final outcome so the Tie option is in play.

Since there are quite a few days between now and the end of the year, I'll post the week 13 picks later in December so that everyone has plenty of time to pick the January games.

Week 12 picks
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Re: WCHA Pick 'Em 2019-2020

Postby TalonsUpPuckDown » Mon Dec 16, 2019 1:51 pm

Some players over on USCHO had questions about last week's results. Here you go:

Zero players picked LSSU on Friday night. However, 7 players know that BG plays like c.r.a.p. on Saturdays and picked up points - Laker Dude, potternmu, Footballguy51, NHBEAVERFAN, Klbaum1077, icd80, and crossjcek who initially picked BG but changed to the Lakers at the last minute.

2 players correctly picked Northern's win over Mankato on Saturday - potternmu and Footballguy51. Interestingly enough, crossjcek initially picked NMU but changed to Mankato at the last minute.

2 players correctly picked the Tech/Clarkson tie on Friday - Hockey John and MTUHuskies.
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Re: WCHA Pick 'Em 2019-2020

Postby TalonsUpPuckDown » Sun Dec 22, 2019 10:09 am

Pre-holiday bump. Here are the days contestants submit their picks. For the third year in a row, Monday remains the most popular.

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Re: WCHA Pick 'Em 2019-2020

Postby TalonsUpPuckDown » Thu Dec 26, 2019 11:47 am

Post-holiday bump. Update on the frequency each team has been picked to win. Still missing a couple of regulars.

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Week 12 picks
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Re: WCHA Pick 'Em 2019-2020

Postby TalonsUpPuckDown » Sun Dec 29, 2019 1:48 pm

While we wait for the results of the GLI to come in, the WCHA regular season starts up again this coming weekend.

Week 13 picks
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Week 12 results will be posted after the GLI.
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Re: WCHA Pick 'Em 2019-2020

Postby TalonsUpPuckDown » Wed Jan 01, 2020 9:40 am

Week 12 results are in with Critical Thinker taking the holiday season pick 'em honors with a score of 24 points. mbenecke stays atop the leader board while puckdude40 holds a one-game lead in the race for the Mason Cup. While I'm thinking of it, here are the top 10 in pick percentage (no bonus points included):

Code: Select all
Contestant      Pick %
puckdude40      0.669
mbenecke        0.664
MTUHuskyGold    0.659
sonofcrossjcek  0.658
MavHockey14     0.656
BGFan           0.655
Stauber1        0.654
MissThundercat  0.654
Hatch_man       0.649
IceKnight81     0.646

Playoff announcement coming up so stay tuned.

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Re: WCHA Pick 'Em 2019-2020

Postby TalonsUpPuckDown » Mon Jan 06, 2020 10:30 am

There were a lot of good scores this week but only one winner -- NHBEAVERFAN took the weekly honors with a high score of 33. This weekend's Big BG Bust has compressed the top of the standings with MTUHuskyGold now trailing mbenecke by only 1 point. Week 14 is a big weekend for points as there is a full slate of games plus a bonus. You don't want to miss this one. Reminder there is a Thursday game this week. The bonus will remain open until puck drop on Friday as the Thursday game won't have a material affect on the results so if you're late in getting picks in you're still good for the bonus.

Week 14 picks
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Re: WCHA Pick 'Em 2019-2020

Postby mbenecke » Mon Jan 06, 2020 4:38 pm

Homer picking has done me no favors recently. Lol
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Re: WCHA Pick 'Em 2019-2020

Postby TalonsUpPuckDown » Tue Jan 07, 2020 5:42 pm

Since this post will consume a lot of real estate, first things first (if you're looking for standings after last week, scroll a bit):

Week 14 picks
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2019-2020 WCHA Pick 'Em Playoffs
Now that we’re into the second half of the season it’s time to start thinking about bringin' home the hardware. As mentioned at the beginning of the season there are 3 awards:
o MacNaughton Cup - Goes to the regular season champion as determined by total points
o Mason Cup - Goes to the player with the highest points percentage (based solely on picks, no bonus) during the regular season
o Jeff Sauer Trophy - Goes to the playoff champion

Unlike other contests, the WCHA Pick ‘Em playoffs adopt a single elimination format where players go head-to-head in each round with the winner advancing. Here are the details.

Playoff Seeding
Due to the ever expanding popularity of the WCHA Pick ‘Em contest, this year the top 36 players will make the playoffs. Matches are head-to-head, single elimination with snake seeding for bracket pairings (1 vs. 36, 2 vs. 35, etc.). Seeding and tie breakers are determined in the following manner based on regular season results:
1) Total Points (including bonus)
2) Points (excluding bonus)
3) Total Points earned during the final 2 (or 3, or 4, or…) weeks of the WCHA regular season including bonuses until the tie is broken. Basically the “hotter” player down the stretch is favored.

Play-In Matches and Alternates
With the field expanding to 36, the top seeds in each of the four regions will receive a first round bye. Their opponent will be the winner of a play-in match with 4 other contestants taking place in the first round. Seeds 21-36 are eligible for each of the four play-in matches. Note that this affects the seeding for the other matches but I think it'll still work out.

Players that are outside of the top 36 will be considered alternates in the case that a playoff eligible contestant is unable to participate. Alternates will assume the playoff spot of the contestant they are replacing on a 1-for-1 basis (meaning I’m not going to reseed the entire field at the last second because someone didn’t get their picks in on time). Thanks go to Hockey John for pioneering the concept of the alternate last year.

Playoff Rounds
o First round will be based on the Friday, March 6 WCHA Quarterfinal playoff games with bonuses (4 games total, field reduced from 36 to 16).
o Second round will be based on the Saturday, March 7 WCHA Quarterfinal playoff games with bonuses (4 games total, field reduced from 16 to 8)
o Quarterfinals will be based on the Friday, March 13 WCHA Semifinal playoff games with bonuses (2 games total, field reduced from 8 to 4).
o Semifinals will be based on the Saturday, March 14 WCHA Semifinal playoff games with bonuses (2 games total, field reduced from 4 to 2).
o The championship matchup will be based on the WCHA Championship game on March 21 plus bonuses.

Scoring
o Same as the regular season other than games won’t end in a tie so 3 pts for a win, 0 pts for a loss.
o 2-3 bonus questions for each round worth 1-5 points.
o In all cases ties go to the higher seed.

Good luck!
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Re: WCHA Pick 'Em 2019-2020

Postby TalonsUpPuckDown » Sun Jan 12, 2020 12:25 pm

It was a big week for mbenecke who won the week with 35 out of 39 points and also tied for the bonus. He extends his lead for the MacNaughton to 6 over MTUHuskyGold and 17 over puckdude40. There were 85 assists this weekend; here's how the bonus scoring went:
Code: Select all
Contestant       Points
mbenecke           9
Icd80              9
crossjcek          8
Hatch_man          8
Laker Dude         8
Scrum Bucket       8
MTUHuskyGold       7
Wi.HuskiesFan      6
Soulbeaver         5
geezer             3
IceKnight81        3
puckdude40         3
mikeeddy19         2
MSUMaverickFan     1
TalonsUpPuckDown   1

In the race for the Mason Cup, sonofcrosscheck hangs on to a slender one-game lead over puckdude40.

There are 226 points available the rest of the year (assuming no ties) and a bonus every week. Plenty of opportunities to make the playoffs.

Week 15 picks
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Re: WCHA Pick 'Em 2019-2020

Postby TalonsUpPuckDown » Sun Jan 19, 2020 1:59 pm

The quad winners for week 15 with 25 out of 33 points were gochiefs, MavHockey14, MTUHuskyGold, and TalonsUpPuckDown. And with that week winning performance, MTUHuskyGold is now only one point behind mbenecke in the race for the MacNaughton. For the bonus, with the first game ending in a tie and the GWG being scored at the :48 mark of the second period, the average GWG time was (0:65:00 + 0:20:48)/2 = 0:42:54 or 42 minutes when rounded down. Wi.HuskiesFan, SweeneyHawksHockey, klbaum1077, and geezer each came away with 5 bonus points.

Code: Select all
Player            Bonus
Wi.HuskiesFan        5
SweeneyHawksHockey   5
klbaum1077           5
geezer               5
walktheline          4
MTUHuskyGold         4
MTUHuskies           4
Drumstix             4
Soulbeaver           3
Critical Thinker     3
MSUMaverickFan       1
Manurespreader       1
gochiefs             1
<3_Blizzard          1


Meanwhile, sonofcrosscjek maintains his hold on the Mason cup.

Code: Select all
Player             Pick %
sonofcrossjcek      0.687
MavHockey14         0.681
MTUHuskyGold        0.681
Stauber1            0.677
puckdude40          0.677
mbenecke            0.677
Scrum Bucket        0.667
IceKnight81         0.664
MissThundercat      0.663


Lastly, I've added a new column to the standings which shows the percentage each player has of making the playoffs based on 100 simulations of each player's picking history this season. Reminder that the top 4 receive a first round bye and places 21-36 will each be in a first round 4-way play-in game. There are six weeks remaining in the regular season and 188 points left.

Week 16 picks
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Re: WCHA Pick 'Em 2019-2020

Postby TalonsUpPuckDown » Sun Jan 26, 2020 9:38 am

The week 16 winner is Miss Thundercat who rode some timely bonus picking and unabashed homerism (she's an NMU alum) to her third weekly win, going 21-for-27. BIG WEEK FOR THE BONUS! There were 17 special teams goals this week; nearly three quarters of the field picked up at least 1 bonus point.
Code: Select all
Player           Points
geezer              5
GIWAN               5
MissThundercat      5
Soulbeaver          5
walktheline         5
Wi.HuskiesFan       5
Hatch_man           4
klbaum1077          4
potternmu           4
TalonsUpPuckDown    4
crossjcek           3
gochiefs            3
Laker Dude          3
MTUHuskyGold        3
puckdude40          3
Stauber1            3
SweeneyHawksHockey  3
Critical Thinker    2
hawerchuck          2
Icd80               2
kckrieg84           2
mbenecke            2
MSUMaverickFan      2
Bronco Hockey Fan   1
Footballguy51       1
Manurespreader      1
mikeeddy19          1
sonofcrossjcek      1

Meanwhile, sonofcrosscjek extends his lead for the Mason Cup to two games over MTUHuskyGold and Stauber1.
Code: Select all
Player           Pick %
sonofcrossjcek    0.686
MTUHuskyGold      0.679
Stauber1          0.675
MavHockey14       0.673
mbenecke          0.671
puckdude40        0.663
MissThundercat    0.663
Scrum Bucket      0.662


You may notice some changes at the top of the leaderboard with MTUHuskyGold taking over first place from our long time leader mbenecke in what is becoming a two-way race for the MacNaughton. While all eyes are on the leaders, let's not forget the other end of the standings and the 5-for-2 dogfight for those final playoff spots. Two weeks ago Footballguy51 was 35 points out of the playoffs. Today that number is down to 18. There are 156 points and 5 weeks remaining. Even if the scoreboard shows that you've punched your ticket, the only way to guarantee your spot is to get those picks in!

Week 17 picks
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